Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Botafogo RJ		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	10	Watch
	1.33	5	8.75
	1.35	4.8	8.5
	1.31	5.02	11.14
	1.29	4.5	10
	1.33	5.05	9.3	Watch
	1.32	4.9	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.46)	4.82 ↑ (4.04)	9.53 ↑ (6.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
70.8%

Draw
19.4%

Guaraní Asuncion
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

22.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ's performance.

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo RJ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Botafogo RJ - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gatito Fernandez (G) 24. Di Placido L. 34. Adryelson 15. Victor Cuesta (C) 16. Hugo 6. Tche Tche 17. Marlon Freitas 10. Gustavo Sauer 33. Carlos Eduardo 7. Victor Sa 39. Janderson	1. Munoz R. (C) 2. Raul Caceres 24. Salomoni F. 3. Moya J. 40. Riveros P. 8. Moreira E. 5. Gil Romero G. 20. Rios R. D. 7. Camacho N. 9. Santander F. 28. Benitez B.
Substitutes
27. Carlos Alberto 5. Danilo 54. Hernandez D. 57. JP Galvao 37. Junior Santos 18. Lucas Fernandes 12. Lucas Perri (G) 21. Marcal 90. Matheus Nascimento 94. Philipe Sampaio 20. Segovia M. 9. Tiquinho Soares	26. Amarilla R. 31. Barcelo F. 4. Benitez M. 32. Cantero A. 10. Farina L. 21. Gallardo D. 36. Martinez L. 37. Perez D. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 27. Roman Torales F. J. 25. Sanchez A. (G) 22. Sarquis E.
Coaches
Lage B.	Pumpido J. P.

Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Botafogo to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
30.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
23.07.23	Santos - Botafogo RJ	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.07.23	Patronato Parana - Botafogo RJ	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTWW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.07.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
21.07.23	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:3 ✺
09.07.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.06.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLWW

Upcoming Matches