Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Guaireña		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.85
	3.8	3.25	1.82
	4	3.3	1.9	Watch
	4.34	3.47	1.93
	4.35	3.47	1.93
	4	3.25	1.83
	3.9	3.34	1.9
	3.8	3.45	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.06)	3.37 ↑ (3.31)	1.88 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
23.2%

Draw
27.5%

Nacional Asuncion
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

28.3%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

28%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Nacional Asuncion aligns with the current prediction.

Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Finochietto L. (G) 2. Gimenez A. 5. Gonzalez J. 16. Paiz J. 23. Caceres E. 6. Paniagua M. (C) 33. Coronel P. 19. Godoy D. 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 37. Comas L. 9. Verdun J.	1. Espinola H. (G) 23. Espinola C. 36. Benegas I. 14. Nunez C. (C) 6. Roman 32. Brizuela F. 5. Orzusa E. 26. Alfaro J. 7. Martinez M. 21. Aguilar G. 11. Caballero Fleytas T. I.
Substitutes
24. Aguilar J. 22. Borja E. 10. Duarte C. 11. Martinez A. 21. Rojas T. 13. Toledo O. (G) 20. Toledo R.	3. Baez F. 9. Fleitas D. 30. Galarza L. (G) 33. Gaona Lugo O. 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 17. Trinidad E. 8. Velazco F.
Coaches
Ovelar H.	Pumpido J. P.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 0.

Guaireña is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional Asuncion is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Nacional Asuncion have a series of home games.

In this match Nacional Asuncion is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaireña won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.10.23	Tacuary - Guaireña	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	1:5 ✺
02.10.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
28.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.09.23	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.10.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	4:0 ✺
07.10.23	Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	0:3 ✺
23.09.23	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Copa Paraguay
19.09.23	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
06.08.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0
11.04.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	2:2
28.01.23	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	1:3
27.10.22	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	3:0
26.08.22	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	1:3
01.07.22	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	1:1
20.04.22	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	3:1

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