Match Info

Date: 28 July 2021, Wednesday


	Gualaceo		América de Quito

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.85	4.2
	1.9	3	3.9
	1.99	2.75	4.1
	2.07	2.89	4.6
	1.95	2.7	4.33
	1.98	3.04	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.75)	2.87 ↓ (3.4)	4.18 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
46.3%

Draw
31.8%

América de Quito
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gualaceo's form might have worsened.

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gualaceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Gualaceo - América de Quito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Gualaceo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches América de Quito is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gualaceo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gualaceo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gualaceo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.07.21	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
18.07.21	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	4:2 ✺
14.07.21	Chacaritas - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
11.07.21	Gualaceo - Búhos ULVR	2:0 ✺
08.07.21	Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTWW
- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.07.21	América de Quito - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
17.07.21	Atlético Santo Domingo - América de Quito	0:2 ✺
14.07.21	Atlético Porteño - América de Quito	2:1 ✺
11.07.21	América de Quito - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
07.07.21	Cumbayá - América de Quito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
24.06.21	América de Quito - Gualaceo	0:1
19.05.21	Gualaceo - América de Quito	1:1

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