Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Gualaceo		Imbabura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.79	3.25	5.31
				Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.75	3.1	4.9	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.69)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	4.65 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
50.9%

Draw
29.3%

Imbabura
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Gualaceo - Imbabura Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gualaceo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Imbabura (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gualaceo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gualaceo (votes: 3 - 50%). Imbabura (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Pita J. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Ovando D. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Benalcazar C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 3 - 1, Alvarado C. ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, Caicedo R. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Gualaceo is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gualaceo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
11.06.25	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
04.06.25	Gualaceo - 22 de Julio	2:2 ✺
29.05.25	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Gualaceo - Atlético Vinotinto	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWT
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
11.06.25	Imbabura - 9 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Imbabura - Chacaritas	4:1 ✺
27.05.25	22 de Julio - Imbabura	1:0 ✺
21.05.25	Imbabura - Independiente Juniors	4:0 ✺
14.05.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Imbabura	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
08.04.25	Imbabura - Gualaceo	1:1

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