Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Guayaquil City		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.71	6.24
	1.72	3.26	5.39	Watch
	1.51	3.45	6.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	6.15 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
58.2%

Draw
26.7%

Gualaceo
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

26.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Guayaquil City - Gualaceo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
73', 🟥,
76', 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Gualaceo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guayaquil City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Guayaquil City is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Guayaquil City will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Copa
02.10.25	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Guayaquil City	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.09.25	Independiente Juniors - Guayaquil City	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Guayaquil City - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
04.09.25	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
25.09.25	Gualaceo - San Antonio	2:2 ✺
16.09.25	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	Leones del Norte - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.25	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	2:0
10.08.25	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	0:1
29.05.25	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	2:0
13.09.24	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	3:1
25.07.24	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	0:0
19.06.24	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	3:2
01.05.24	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	0:4

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