Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Imbabura		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.88	Watch
	1.12	6.5	16	Watch
	1.55	3.85	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.6)	4.7 ↑ (3.7)	8.69 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Imbabura
67.9%

Draw
20.8%

Chacaritas
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

18.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imbabura's performance.

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chacaritas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imbabura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chacaritas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Imbabura - Chacaritas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Imbabura will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Chacaritas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Imbabura (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Imbabura (1.97) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Imbabura (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 🟥,
90+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Imbabura is Relegated to

Chacaritas is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imbabura won 3.

Recent performances by Imbabura have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chacaritas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chacaritas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Imbabura is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Imbabura won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Imbabura won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.10.25	Cumbayá - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Imbabura - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Imbabura	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTTL
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.10.25	Chacaritas - Vargas Torres	0:1 ✺
16.10.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Chacaritas	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
08.10.25	Chacaritas - 22 de Julio	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
28.08.25	Chacaritas - Imbabura	2:3
03.06.25	Imbabura - Chacaritas	4:1
27.03.25	Chacaritas - Imbabura	1:1
20.09.23	Chacaritas - Imbabura	1:2
03.08.23	Imbabura - Chacaritas	0:1
17.05.23	Chacaritas - Imbabura	2:5
26.03.23	Imbabura - Chacaritas	1:2

Imbabura - Chacaritas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide