Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	San Antonio		Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.75	1.53
	4.20	3.55	1.66
	5.16	3.8	1.68
	4.78	4.13	1.62	Watch
	5.15	4.01	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (2.7)	3.85 ↑ (3)	1.63 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
19.1%

Draw
24.1%

Vinotinto
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio's form might have worsened.

Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vinotinto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vinotinto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

San Antonio - Vinotinto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 1.

San Antonio has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Vinotinto is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Vinotinto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Vinotinto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, San Antonio has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for San Antonio against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vinotinto	29	13	9	7	37:22	15	48
6	San Antonio	29	7	12	10	27:34	-7	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
26.09.26	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Cuenca Juniors - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	San Antonio - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	4:2 ✺
27.08.26	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.09.26	Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto	2:3 ✺
17.09.26	Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Cuenca Juniors - Vinotinto	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	4:2 ✺
27.08.26	Vinotinto - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
03.09.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	4:2
29.07.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:1
07.05.26	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1
12.09.24	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:0
23.07.24	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1
21.05.24	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:0
26.03.24	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:0

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