Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	San Antonio		Atlético Rojiblanco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.87	2.50
	2.28	3.00	2.85
	2.8	3	2.64
	2.76	3.08	2.61
	2.68	3.36	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.15)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	2.62 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
34.9%

Draw
30%

Atlético Rojiblanco
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio's form might have worsened.

Atlético Rojiblanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Rojiblanco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Rojiblanco than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Rojiblanco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

San Antonio - Atlético Rojiblanco Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Antonio will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético Rojiblanco will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Atlético Rojiblanco (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Rojiblanco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
83', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

San Antonio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, San Antonio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atletico FC	28	12	13	3	34:18	16	49
6	San Antonio	28	7	12	9	26:32	-6	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.09.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	4:2 ✺
27.08.26	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	El Nacional - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTWW
- Atlético Rojiblanco
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - 9 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
27.08.26	Vinotinto - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Gualaceo - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
06.08.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
16.07.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - San Antonio	4:1
28.04.26	San Antonio - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:1

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