Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 7

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Ecu)


	Gualaceo		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.78
	4	3.55	1.8
	4.14	3.53	1.92
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	3.98	3.64	1.87	Watch
	4	3.4	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.63)	3.45 ↑ (3.37)	1.87 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
23.4%

Draw
26.9%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.1%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gualaceo's form might have worsened.

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica del Ecuador's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gualaceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gualaceo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gualaceo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 13 and 11).

Gualaceo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Universidad Católica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad Católica will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gualaceo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gualaceo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.04.23	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Gualaceo - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
31.03.23	LDU Quito - Gualaceo	6:1 ✺
17.03.23	Gualaceo - Orense	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Mushuc Runa - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWL
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
19.03.23	SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	4:1 ✺
05.03.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.09.22	Gualaceo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1
08.05.22	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Gualaceo	3:1

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