Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 7

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Universidad Católica del Ecuador		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	7	Watch
	1.37	4.55	7.3
	1.38	4.53	8.97
	1.36	4.95	7.85	Watch
	1.33	4.2	7
	1.42	4.54	7.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	4.55 ↑ (4.23)	7.53 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
67.4%

Draw
20.3%

Guayaquil City
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

22.1%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

21.2%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 44. Valencia E. 8. Clavijo E. (C) 5. Cacciabue J. 32. Alonso M. 23. Rodriguez A. 30. Mejia E. 18. Palacios B.	1. Napa G. (G) 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 15. Sambonino K. 20. Laurino S. 70. Mancilla P. 80. Gonzalez P. 10. Diaz D. (C) 11. Mero E.
Substitutes
20. Chala J. 28. Diaz M. 7. Fajardo J. 12. Lara J. (G) 9. Londono A. 37. Medina C. 15. Moreno L. 24. Nazareno D. 6. Palacios D. 13. Rose E. 19. Sevillano M. 26. Yanez S.	21. Andrade J. M. 14. Arroyo D. 51. Cabezas E. 8. Humanante J. 5. Julio M. 19. Naula A. 16. Ordonez J. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 24. Plada G. 28. Vivar J.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Gavilanez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Anangono G. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Mero E. ⚽, Laurino S. (A),
41', Diaz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Valencia E. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Londono A. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
60', 2 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
65', Ladines Calvache E. P. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
65', Sambonino K. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
66', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
68', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
72', Diaz D. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Napa G. (Own goal),
78', Alonso M. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
78', Mejia E. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
84', Laurino S. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Rose E. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.

Uni Católica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Guayaquil City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Uni Católica is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTWT
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.03.26	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Manta - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Delfín - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.08.23	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0
05.03.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	3:0
17.07.22	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:0
26.02.22	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	1:1
21.08.21	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	1:1
21.03.21	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2

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