The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 35.8%
Draw 29.9%
Independiente del Valle 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
29.7%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
29.5%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 44. Valencia E. 5. Cacciabue J. 30. Mejia E. 28. Diaz M. 8. Clavijo E. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J.
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 6. Alcivar J. 23. Viacava J. 14. Carabajal M. 19. Loor L. 17. Rodriguez A. 53. Lerma J. 10. Sornoza J. 31. Pata E. 9. Gonzalez C.
Substitutes
1. Cueva L. 12. Lara J. (G) 9. Londono A. 10. Martinez F. 37. Medina C. 15. Moreno L. 24. Nazareno D. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 13. Rose E. 19. Sevillano M. 26. Yanez S.
50. Angulo J. 12. Bores E. (G) 16. Briones R. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 20. Gomez A. 55. Guagua D. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 11. Perello M. 99. Reasco D. 33. Velasco A.
Coaches
Martinez D.
Papa J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', Romero Padilla D. A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Sornoza J. ⚽,
27', Anangono G. 🟨,
29', Fajardo J. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Carabajal M. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
34', Cacciabue J. 🟨,
41', Alonso M. 🟨,
44', Clavijo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Valencia E. 🟨,
55', Valencia E. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
66', Sornoza J. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
66', Cacciabue J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
66', Fajardo J. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
76', Pata E. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
82', Clavijo E. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
82', Alonso M. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
84', Lerma J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
84', Rodriguez A. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
84', Gonzalez C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Briones R. ⚽,
90+4', Briones R. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
Ind del Valle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Uni Católica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.5:1.9).