Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Henan Songshan Longmen		Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.75	7
	1.33	5	8.5
	1.39	5.12	8.67
	1.34	4.68	7.98	Watch
	1.29	4.75	8
	1.34	5	8.4	Watch
	1.31	4.7	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.51)	4.86 ↑ (4)	8.08 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henan Songshan Longmen
69.5%

Draw
19.1%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henan Songshan Longmen's performance.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangxi Pingguo Haliao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Pingguo Haliao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Wang Guoming (G) 24. Li Songyi 36. Iago Maidana 5. Gu Cao 2. Liu Yixin 16. Yang Kuo 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 10. Huang Zichang 14. Du Zhixuan 7. Zhong Yihao 20. Covic N.	22. He L. (G) 20. Tao Yuan 6. Zhang Wentao 25. Liu Yang 23. Bai Jiajun 12. Huang Xin 11. Hu Rentian (C) 21. Zhao Haichao 18. Lu Pin 19. Wang Jingbin 3. Yi Xianlong
Substitutes
40. Bruno Nazario 21. Chen Keqiang 9. Feng Boyuan 22. Huang Ruifeng 23. Ke Zhao 32. Li T. 27. Niu Ziyi 4. Shinar Y. 17. Wang Jinshuai (G) 26. Xu Jiamin (G) 19. Yang Yilin	44. Fan Chao 37. Giovanny 31. Guo Yi 7. Hevel H. 8. Hu Jiajin 1. Liang J. (G) 32. Liu J. 4. Nunez V. 17. Sun Weizhe 2. Wang Huapeng 33. Ye Chongqiu 28. Zhang Xiangshuo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Huang Zichang ⚽,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Henan Songshan Longmen is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Henan Songshan Longmen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
13.07.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0 ✺
05.07.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Meizhou Hakka - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:3 ✺
25.06.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWWW
- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
14.07.24	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Wuhan Three Towns	4:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
17.11.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:4

Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide