Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 11

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.6	4.6
	1.63	3.6	4.75
	1.66	3.76	5.04
	1.67	3.76	5.04
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.61	3.64	5	Watch
	1.61	3.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)	3.67 ↑ (3.54)	4.89 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
56.4%

Draw
24.9%

Guangzhou Evergrande
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. He L. (G) 37. Giovanny 29. Shan P. 27. Zhang Huajun 17. Sun Weizhe 15. Yang Minjie 11. Hu Rentian 10. Bammou Y. 7. Hevel H. 6. Zhang Wentao 5. Hu Mingfei	1. Askhan (G) 5. Wang Shilong 15. Xu Bin 8. Sadauskas R. 3. Liu Langzhou 18. Liao Jintao 6. Hou Yu 19. Wu Junjie 27. Wang Junyang 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Alegria J.
Substitutes
23. Bai Jiajun 13. Dong Yifan (G) 44. Fan Chao 36. Gao Jiarun 12. Huang Xin 25. Liu Yang 19. Wang Jingbin 16. Xu Yougang 33. Ye Chongqiu 3. Yi Xianlong 21. Zhao Haichao 45. Zhao Z.	30. Bai Yutao 7. Kurban Eysajan 22. Li Jiahao 24. Qurban Weli 13. Wang Jie 21. Wang Shijie 2. Wang Wenxuan 14. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 16. Zhang Zhixiong
Coaches
Wang X.	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Wang Shilong (Own goal),
31', Liao Jintao 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Hou Yu ⚽, Aniwar Abduwahap (A),
43', Bammou Y. ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
44', Alegria J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Hou Yu 🟨,
50', 1 - 2, Alegria J. ⚽, Hou Yu (A),
58', Wang Junyang ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
58', Yang Minjie ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
58', Zhang Huajun ↓, Bai Jiajun ↑,
63', Shan P. 🟨,
65', 1 - 3, Alegria J. ⚽, Aniwar Abduwahap (A),
69', Wu Junjie ↓, Kurban Eysajan ↑,
69', Hou Yu ↓, Wang Shijie ↑,
73', Wang Shilong 🟨,
76', Wang Shilong ↓, Wang Wenxuan ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Wang Jingbin ⚽, Fan Chao (A),
89', 2 - 4, Aniwar Abduwahap ⚽, Alegria J. (A),
90+2', 3 - 4, Giovanny (Pen),
90+5', Sadauskas R. 🟨,
90+13', Sadauskas R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Guangxi Pingguo Haliao is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Guangxi Pingguo Haliao to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese FA Cup
19.05.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
11.05.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:2 ✺
05.05.24	Ningbo Professional - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
01.05.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yunnan Yukun	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTWW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Shaanxi Union - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
26.08.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0
14.05.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:2

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangzhou Evergrande: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide