Match Info

League One - Round 28

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	2.88	2.78	Watch
	2.63	3.29	2.57	Watch
	2.47	2.88	2.81	Watch
	2.58	3.25	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.63)	3.08 ↓ (3.29)	2.69 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
36.1%

Draw
29.8%

Yanbian Longding
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.4%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wang Jinshuai (G) 35. Zhu Yue 5. Yao Diran 4. Feng Yifan 34. Xiang Rongjun 32. You Wenjie 11. Liu Hao 19. Chen Quanjiang 29. Fu Shang 39. Lu Chenghe 43. Cheukoua M.	21. Kou Jiahao (G) 36. Li R. 28. Nunez V. 15. Xu Jizu 16. Xu Wenguang 20. Jin Taiyan 5. Domingos J. 17. Piao Shihao 6. Li Qiang 10. Brown F. 30. Huang Zhenfei
Substitutes
28. Chen Shaohao 25. Chen Shihao 33. Ding Quancheng 44. Fan Chao 8. Hu Jiajin 2. Ning An 1. Wang Yanhan (G) 27. Wei Guoren 17. Yang Jingfan 36. Yang Minjie 38. Zhang Wei 16. Zhang Zili	4. Che Zeping 19. Dong Jialin (G) 8. Han Guangmin 33. Hu Ziqian 18. Khedrup Lobsang 32. Li Da 1. Li Shengmin (G) 23. Li Ximin 31. Qian Changjie 29. Ukachukwu P. 35. Wang Chengkuai 38. Wang Zihao
Coaches
Maeda K.	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Liu Hao 🟨,
45+1', Domingos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', Chen Quanjiang ↓, Yang Minjie ↑,
70', Liu Hao ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Jin Taiyan ⚽, Li Qiang (A),
82', Wang Jinshuai 🟨,
82', 0 - 2, Brown F. (Pen),
85', Khedrup Lobsang 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', You Wenjie ↓, Ding Quancheng ↑,
87', Jin Taiyan ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
87', Fu Shang ↓, Zhang Wei ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4).

Recent form of Guangxi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yanbian Longding is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yanbian Longding may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guangxi has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangxi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangxi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
19.10.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
18.10.25	Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi	4:1 ✺
12.10.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Yanbian Longding	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Dingnan United - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Yanbian Longding - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
22.06.25	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0
12.10.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yanbian Longding	3:2
01.06.24	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:4
15.10.23	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:2
28.06.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yanbian Longding	2:1

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