Match Info

Jia League - Round 25

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Dingnan United		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.62	2.98	2.52
	2.67	3.15	2.88
	2.58	2.84	2.98	Watch
	2.62	3.04	2.51
	2.16	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.22)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
37.4%

Draw
30.5%

Yanbian Longding
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dingnan United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Dingnan United - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dingnan United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 34. Ependi Nizamdin 35. Liu Jiahui 44. Mateos D. 19. Li Suda 10. Tang Shi (C) 20. Tiago Fernandes 15. Yang Fan 4. Sihan W. 9. Ma Chenghao 11. Erikys	21. Kou Jiahao (G) 16. Xu Wenguang 15. Xu Jizu 28. Nunez V. 14. Li Long 6. Li Qiang 17. Piao Shihao (C) 20. Jin Taiyan 5. Domingos J. 30. Huang Zhenfei 10. Brown F.
Substitutes
26. Chen Liming 18. Fan Bojian 27. Ge Yifan (G) 22. He Shaolin 28. Shao Shuai 45. Wei Zixian 29. Xu Jiajun 33. Yan Jiahao 32. Yin P. 7. Zhang Jiansheng 8. Zhang Zimin 16. Zhou Pinxi	19. Dong Jialin (G) 8. Han Guangmin 33. Hu Ziqian 18. Khedrup Lobsang 32. Li Da 36. Li R. 7. Li Shibin 23. Li Ximin 31. Qian Changjie 35. Wang Chengkuai 38. Wang Zihao 25. Zhang Hao
Coaches
Liu Jianye	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Erikys ⚽, Sihan W. (A),
26', Yang Fan 🟨,
29', Nunez V. 🟨,
33', Piao Shihao 🟨,
45+5', Erikys 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Li Suda ⚽,
56', Piao Shihao ↓, Han Guangmin ↑,
56', Jin Taiyan ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
57', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Wei Zixian ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Brown F. ⚽,
65', Yang Fan ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
72', Mateos D. 🟨,
74', Ma Chenghao ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
75', Tang Shi ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
76', Li Suda 🟨,
84', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Li Shibin ↑,
90', Nunez V. ↓, Li Ximin ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4).

Dingnan United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yanbian Longding is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Dingnan United has had a series of away games.

Dingnan United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dingnan United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Yanbian Longding - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
27.09.25	Liaoning Tieren - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Ningbo Professional - Dingnan United	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Dingnan United - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Dalian Kun City - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWWLL
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
27.09.25	Yanbian Longding - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Yanbian Longding - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Dalian Kun City - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
26.05.25	Yanbian Longding - Dingnan United	3:0

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