Match Info

League One - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:30	Migu


	Dingnan United		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.30	3.40
	1.84	3.55	3.75	Watch
	1.90	3.50	3.69
	2.19	3.48	3.08	Watch
	1.87	3.35	3.60
	1.90	3.47	3.94	Watch
	1.92	3.40	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.1)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	3.59 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
47.6%

Draw
26.8%

Yanbian Longding
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

26%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dingnan United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanbian Longding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dingnan United - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 3. Zhu Mingxin 17. Chen Po-Liang 4. Daciel 45. Yang B. 8. Zhang Zimin 21. Hu Jiajin 16. Li Zhi 10. Tang Shi (C) 11. Erikys 7. Palacios M.	13. Wang Haocheng (G) 4. Nunez V. 15. Xu Jizu 19. Duan Dezhi 14. Cui Taixu 17. Piao Shihao (C) 5. Domingos J. 20. Jin Taiyan 30. Huang Zhenfei 10. Brown F. 37. Giovanny
Substitutes
28. Cheng Yetong 1. Du Jia (G) 23. Du Junpeng 18. Fan Bojian 22. Gao S. 19. Han Yuchen 34. Hao Yucheng 9. Ma Chenghao 37. Petrov M. 27. Wang Sihan 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao	11. Chen Keqiang 2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 8. He Zhenyu 33. Hu Ziqian 21. Kou Jiahao (G) 6. Li Ximin 28. Pan Xuanyu 45. Qu Yanheng 23. Wang Zihao 16. Xu Wenguang 9. Zong Xuanyu
Coaches
Mao Biao	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Palacios M. ⚽,
11', Yang B. 🟨,
45+1', Hu Jiajin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Qu Yanheng ↑,
46', Chen Po-Liang ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,
52', Zhu Mingxin 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Giovanny ⚽, Xu Jizu (A),
58', Hu Jiajin ↓, Wang Sihan ↑,
58', Palacios M. ↓, Ma Chenghao ↑,
62', Wang Sihan 🟨,
66', Piao Shihao ↓, Li Ximin ↑,
66', Li Zhi ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
66', Jin Taiyan ↓, Pan Xuanyu ↑,
70', Zhang Zimin ↓, Gao S. ↑,
72', Cui Taixu ↓, Xu Wenguang ↑,
78', Wang Haocheng ↓, Kou Jiahao ↑,
82', Brown F. ↓, He Zhenyu ↑,
84', Tang Shi ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Xu Jizu ⚽, Domingos J. (A),

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 6th).

In recent outings, Dingnan United has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Yanbian Longding has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dingnan United is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Dingnan United has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.7:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dingnan United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yanbian Longding	28	11	9	8	41:30	11	42
14	Dingnan Ganlian	28	5	12	11	39:51	-12	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
17.10.26	Wuxi Wugou - Dingnan United	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dingnan United	3:1 ✺
06.10.26	Dingnan United - Meizhou Hakka	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Changchun Yatai - Dingnan United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTTL
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
17.10.26	Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi	5:0 ✺
11.10.26	Yanbian Longding - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
06.10.26	Changchun Yatai - Yanbian Longding	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Yanbian Longding - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
04.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Dingnan United	3:0
04.10.25	Dingnan United - Yanbian Longding	2:1
26.05.25	Yanbian Longding - Dingnan United	3:0

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