Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Guangzhou City		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.1	7.25	15.5
	1.12	7.5	16
	1.12	6.6	14
	1.13	8.41	21.51
	1.11	7	21
	1.11	8	17.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.3)	7.46 ↑ (5.25)	17.54 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou City
82.4%

Draw
12.3%

Suzhou Dongwu
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

17.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

9.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou City's performance.

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Suzhou Dongwu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (-42.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Suzhou Dongwu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangzhou City - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Guangzhou R&F is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
10.11.20	Dalian Pro - Guangzhou City	0:4 ET ✺
06.11.20	Guangzhou City - Dalian Pro	0:3 ✺
01.11.20	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangzhou City	3:2 ✺
27.10.20	Guangzhou City - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
24.10.20	Guangzhou City - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLW
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
08.11.20	Suzhou Dongwu - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:0 ✺
05.11.20	Heilongjiang Ice City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Suzhou Dongwu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
28.10.20	Nantong Zhiyun - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
24.10.20	Suzhou Dongwu - Nei Mongol Zhongyou	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWTL

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