Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)


	Changchun Yatai		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	6	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.64	3.65	5.2
	1.63	3.69	6
	1.62	3.4	5.25
	1.63	3.68	5.4
	1.64	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.46)	3.66 ↓ (4.5)	5.44 ↓ (6.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
57.5%

Draw
25.4%

Guangzhou Evergrande
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.1%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

20.5%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Changchun Yatai won 1.

Recent matches Changchun Yatai is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Changchun Yatai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Changchun Yatai have a series of home games.

In this match Changchun Yatai is certain favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Changchun Yatai won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 14-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
30.09.22	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan	2:0 ✺
20.09.22	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2 ✺
01.09.22	Changchun Yatai - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
28.08.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Changchun Yatai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
13.09.22	Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0 ✺
01.09.22	Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
24.08.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Pro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
01.01.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Changchun Yatai	2:0
19.12.21	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:2
11.08.18	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:2
09.03.18	Guangzhou Evergrande - Changchun Yatai	5:0
08.09.17	Guangzhou Evergrande - Changchun Yatai	3:1
14.05.17	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1
17.07.16	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:2

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