Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 24

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Guangdong Sports Channel, QQ Sports


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Dalian Young Boy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.87
	2.2	3.3	2.95
	2.31	3.32	3.02
	2.2	3.29	3.04	Watch
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.16	3.34	2.99	Watch
	2.17	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.34)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
41.5%

Draw
28%

Dalian Young Boy
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Young Boy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Huo S. (G) 5. Wang Shilong 15. Xu Bin 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 18. Liao Jintao 9. Alegria J. 24. Qurban W. 30. Bai Yutao 28. Penaloza J. 2. Wang Wenxuan	17. Sui Weijie (G) 34. Zhao Mingjian 3. Gerbig O. 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 22. Mao W. 38. Lu Zhuoyi 21. Lu Peng (C) 28. Fei Yu 40. Fernando Karanga 44. Kotnik A.
Substitutes
11. Aniwar Abduwahap 1. Askhan (G) 3. Liu Langzhou 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 21. Wang Shijie 19. Wu Junjie 14. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 29. Zhang Dachi	23. 23 1. Ge Peng (G) 6. Robson 12. Wang Shengbo 11. Wang Tengda 10. Wang Xuanhong 9. Yan P. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 2. Zhang Zhen 4. Zhao Xuebin 26. Zhongkai C. 16. Zhu P.
Coaches
Suay S.	Li G.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dalian Young Boy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guangzhou Evergrande will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
15.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4 ✺
01.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Ningbo Professional - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWWWT
- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
15.09.24	Dalian Young Boy - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Young Boy	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Dalian Young Boy - Foshan Nanshi	3:1 ✺
18.08.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Dalian Young Boy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
04.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1

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