Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 23

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Guangdong Sports Channel


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.25
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2	3.51	3.57
	1.98	3.63	3.52	Watch
	1.96	3.42	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.18)	3.44 ↑ (3.13)	3.42 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
46.6%

Draw
26.6%

Suzhou Dongwu
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Guangzhou Evergrande - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 18. Liao Jintao 2. Wang Wenxuan 5. Wang Shilong 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 28. Penaloza J. 19. Wu Junjie 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Alegria J.	21. Li Xinyu (G) 2. Wang Xijie 4. Yeon Jei-Min 5. Xu Wu 11. Zhang Jingzhe 28. Deng Yubiao 10. Zhang Lingfeng. 35. Xiang Rongjun 42. Yaremati A. 9. Leonardo 18. Liang Weipeng
Substitutes
1. Askhan (G) 30. Bai Yutao 3. Liu Langzhou 24. Qurban W. 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 21. Wang Shijie 14. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 12. Yasin Islam	27. Duan Dezhi 8. Gao D. 41. Guo Tong (G) 14. Huang Jiajun 15. Hu H. 17. Jin Shang 1. Liu Yu (G) 31. Ma Fuyu 3. Shang K. 16. Xu Chunqing 19. Yakubu Nassam I. 26. Ye Daoxin
Coaches
Suay S.	Kim D. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Xu Wu 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Xu Wu ↓, Duan Dezhi ↑,
46', Zhang Lingfeng. ↓, Ye Daoxin ↑,
46', Yaremati A. ↓, Yakubu Nassam I. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Yakubu Nassam I. ⚽,
52', Hou Yu 🟨,
56', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
56', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
63', Wang Wenxuan 🟨,
73', Wang Wenxuan ↓, Liu Langzhou ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Alegria J. (Pen),
83', Penaloza J. ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
84', Wu Junjie ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
86', Deng Yubiao ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
89', Alegria J. 🟨,
90+2', Liu Langzhou 🟨,
90+3', Yakubu Nassam I. 🟨,
90+7', Xiang Rongjun ↓, Gao D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 5).

Guangzhou Evergrande in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Suzhou Dongwu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guangzhou Evergrande could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guangzhou Evergrande will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
08.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4 ✺
01.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Ningbo Professional - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Foshan Nanshi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWTW
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
08.09.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ningbo Professional - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.04.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1
12.08.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:2
07.05.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1

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