Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 23

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Young Boy		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.76	3.45	4.67
	1.77	3.42	4.81	Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.74	3.35	4.47	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	4.44 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Young Boy
51.9%

Draw
27.5%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Dalian Young Boy - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ge Peng (G) 38. Lu Zhuoyi 3. Gerbig O. 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 22. Mao W. 21. Lu Peng 34. Zhao Mingjian 29. Sun B. 44. Kotnik A. 40. Fernando Karanga	31. Li Guanxi (G) 2. Zhang Chenliang 5. Song Zhiwei 19. Liu H. 20. Liu Le 32. Nan Yunqi 10. An Yifei 15. Xu Yue 8. Ayovi J. 25. Abdukerim O. 38. Erikys
Substitutes
23. 23 28. Fei Yu 8. Geping Q. 17. Sui Weijie (G) 11. Wang Tengda 10. Wang Xuanhong 9. Yan P. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 2. Zhang Zhen 4. Zhao Xuebin 26. Zhongkai C. 16. Zhu P.	17. Abdusalam A. 28. Bouli R. 24. Chen Zhexuan 29. Fu Shang 14. Ma Chongchong 18. Ma Shuai 1. Nie Xuran (G) 4. Pan Kui 22. Sun Le (G) 16. Wang Haochen 37. Zhang Sipeng (G) 3. Zhang Yixuan
Coaches
Li G.	Liu Cheng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Xu Yue 🟨,
32', Sun B. 🟨,
35', Fernando Karanga ↓, Zhu P. ↑,
45+1', Liu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lu Zhuoyi ↓, Fei Yu ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Kotnik A. ⚽, Sun B. (A),
68', Nan Yunqi ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
71', Ayovi J. 🟨,
79', Abdukerim O. ↓, Abdusalam A. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Erikys ⚽,
89', Xu Yue ↓, Ma Chongchong ↑,
90+1', An Yifei 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 7).

Dalian Young Boy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Shijiazhuang Gongfu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dalian Young Boy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dalian Young Boy have a series of guest games.

Dalian Young Boy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dalian Young Boy won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
08.09.24	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Young Boy	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Dalian Young Boy - Foshan Nanshi	3:1 ✺
18.08.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Dalian Young Boy	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Young Boy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWWW
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
07.09.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
28.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dalian Young Boy	0:0

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