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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou Evergrande 31.4%
Draw 28.4%
Chongqing Tongliang Long 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
27.7%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
25.6%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou Evergrande's performance.
Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chongqing Tongliang Long might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Evergrande that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Guangzhou Evergrande - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 18. Liao Jintao 8. Sadauskas R. 5. Wang Shilong 6. Hou Yu 16. Zhang Zhixiong 28. Penaloza J. 19. Wu Junjie 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 24. Qurban W.
30. Chen Zhao (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 22. Andrejevic A. 31. Zhao Hejing 17. Wang Shiqin 14. Huang Xiyang 43. Xiao Kun 10. Tabekou S. 8. Li Zhenquan 29. Vukic S. 7. Xiang Yuwang
Substitutes
9. Alegria J. 1. Askhan (G) 30. Bai Yutao 4. Chen Quanjiang 22. Li Jiahao 13. Wang Jie 2. Wang Wenxuan 14. Wu Yongqiang 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 12. Yasin Islam 29. Zhang Dachi
25. Ablet Kudirat (G) 33. Cheng Yetong 6. Chen Y. 19. Gong Y. 20. Hu J. 26. Li H. 5. Shi Jiwei 21. Song Pan 28. Sun Xipeng 15. Tong Zhicheng 16. Wang Weicheng 11. Wu Qing
Coaches
Suay S.
Lin Lin
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Andrejevic A. 🟨,
11', Zhao Hejing ↓, Hu J. ↑,
26', 1 - 0, Aniwar Abduwahap ⚽, Xu Bin (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Wang Shilong 🟨,
56', Qurban W. ↓, Alegria J. ↑,
56', Hou Yu ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
62', Huang Xiyang ↓, Chen Y. ↑,
62', Liu Mingshi ↓, Song Pan ↑,
64', Sadauskas R. ↓, Wang Wenxuan ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Alegria J. ⚽, Aniwar Abduwahap (A),
72', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
72', Wu Junjie ↓, Wang Jie ↑,
76', Wang Shiqin ↓, Tong Zhicheng ↑,
76', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 3).
Guangzhou Evergrande is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chongqing Tongliang Long is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Chongqing Tongliang Long could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Guangzhou Evergrande have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.