Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 13 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Shandong Provincial Sports Centre Stadium (Jinan)


	Jinan Xingzhou		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.65	3.96
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.86	3.6	3.84
	1.85	3.6	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.67)	3.54 ↓ (3.73)	3.76 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jinan Xingzhou
49.5%

Draw
26%

Guangzhou Evergrande
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

25.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jinan Xingzhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jinan Xingzhou's form might have worsened.

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou Evergrande's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jinan Xingzhou than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jinan Xingzhou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Jinan Xingzhou - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jinan Xingzhou will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jinan Xingzhou: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Deng Xiaofei (G) 23. Bai Jiajun 27. Fernando Karanga 35. Lin Dai 12. Li Suda 19. Ma Chongchong 20. Shohret R. 18. Tambe R. 10. Wang Zihao 17. Xu Jizu 33. Ye Chongqiu	32. Huo S. (G) 9. Asqer A. 33. Feng Y. 30. Iskandar B. 18. Liao Jintao 7. Qeyyum P. 5. Wang S. 31. Wang S. 2. Wang W. 26. Wu J. 15. Xu Bin
Substitutes
32. Gao Hanfei 9. Lu Yongtao 1. Mu Qianyu (G) 24. Qi Tianyu 31. Tan Tiancheng 15. Wang Tong 29. Wu Junhao 37. Yi Xianlong 26. Yu Jianfeng 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 21. Zhang Yi 28. Zhong Weihong	37. Askhan (G) 8. Chen Guokang 4. Chen Q. 12. Chen R. 16. Fan H. 34. Hou Yu 22. Li J. 28. Ling J. 17. Liu L. 29. Zhang D. 14. Zhang Z. 3. Zhao W.
Coaches
Wei Xin	Suay S.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Jinan Xingzhou is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jinan Xingzhou could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jinan Xingzhou is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jinan Xingzhou won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jinan Xingzhou
Chinese Jia League
10.09.23	Yanbian Longding - Jinan Xingzhou	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Jinan Xingzhou	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jinan Xingzhou	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTT
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
09.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
04.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:3 ✺
12.08.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
04.06.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jinan Xingzhou	1:1

Jinan Xingzhou - Guangzhou Evergrande: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide