Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Dongguan Guanlian

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.75
	1.9	3.4	4.11
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.88	3.5	3.88
	1.9	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.45)	3.39 ↑ (3.22)	3.76 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
48.4%

Draw
27.1%

Dongguan Guanlian
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

29.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou Evergrande's performance.

Dongguan Guanlian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dongguan Guanlian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Evergrande that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dongguan Guanlian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Dongguan Guanlian Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dongguan Guanlian will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 2. Wang W. 17. Liu L. 18. Liao Jintao 30. Iskandar B. 34. Hou Yu 31. Wang S. 7. Qeyyum P. 28. Ling J. 8. Chen Guokang	34. Zhang X. (G) 20. Wang Xingqiang 14. Yao Xilong 6. Feng Xiaoting 28. Zhang Xingbo 22. Zhao Mingjian 23. Loe R. 30. Huang Chuqi 8. Ruan Jun 18. Li Canming 10. Onuegbu K.
Substitutes
37. Askhan (G) 9. Asqer A. 4. Chen Q. 12. Chen R. 16. Fan H. 33. Feng Y. 22. Li J. 41. Li Xingxian 27. Wei S. 26. Wu J. 14. Zhang Z. 3. Zhao W.	9. Beshathan Zanhar 27. Chen H. 1. Chen Junxu (G) 5. Chen Zhengfeng 21. Cui Xinglong 35. He Mingli 32. Ma Junliang 15. Sun D. 26. Su Shihao 11. Wu Jianfei 42. Wu Y. 36. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Suay S.	Wang Hongwei

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dongguan Guanlian is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guangzhou Evergrande will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
13.09.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
04.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWLL
- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
13.09.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Yanbian Longding	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Qingdao West Coast - Dongguan Guanlian	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Dandong Tengyue	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
10.06.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:2

Guangzhou Evergrande - Dongguan Guanlian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide