The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou Evergrande 25%
Draw 27.4%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
25.9%
51.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
26.9%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 19 - 50%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 23.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 34.1% – 65.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 11).
Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has the most likely position - 7 (100%), has project points - 41, has currently - 41, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 5.
Guangzhou Evergrande is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have a series of guest games.
In this match Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 13 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 41-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-4.
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