Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)


	Henan Songshan Longmen		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.51	4.1	5.5
	1.54	4	5.75
	1.53	4.1	5.4
	1.51	4.52	6.02
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.5	4.3	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)	4.19 ↑ (4)	5.79 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henan Songshan Longmen
61.6%

Draw
22.2%

Guangzhou Evergrande
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.3%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	31.6%	26.3%

Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Henan Jianye: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Henan Songshan Longmen has the most likely position - 8 (100%), has project points - 41, has currently - 41, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Henan Songshan Longmen won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guangzhou Evergrande could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Henan Songshan Longmen have a series of home games.

In this match Henan Songshan Longmen is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Henan Songshan Longmen won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 15-41.

Including matches at home between the teams Henan Songshan Longmen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
21.08.22	Wuhan - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:2 ✺
17.08.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Wuhan Three Towns	0:3 ✺
13.08.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
07.08.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan	3:0 ✺
11.07.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLWW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
24.08.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Pro	0:0 ✺
21.08.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shenzhen	4:1 ✺
12.08.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
07.08.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:0 ✺
11.07.22	Hebei CFFC - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.08.21	Guangzhou Evergrande - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:0
15.07.21	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1
21.09.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1
Chinese FA Cup
18.09.20	Guangzhou Evergrande - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:0
Chinese Super League
14.08.20	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:3
27.10.19	Guangzhou Evergrande - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:2
02.06.19	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:5

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