Match Info

Date: 20 November 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Guaraní Asuncion		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.75	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.75
	2.08	2.95	3.4
	2.17	2.95	3.45
	2.24	3.2	3.65
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.17	3.18	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.98)	3.01 (3.01)	3.56 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
43.2%

Draw
30.8%

Botafogo SP
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

31.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

23.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo SP's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo SP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Guaraní is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo SP is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Botafogo SP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
12.11.20	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.20	Cruzeiro - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Club General Díaz	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTWW
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
10.11.20	Confiança - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
06.11.20	Botafogo SP - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Botafogo SP - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
20.10.20	CS Alagoano - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.08.20	Botafogo SP - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.07.20	Botafogo SP - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo SP	0:2
20.07.19	Botafogo SP - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.02.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo SP	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
05.09.16	Botafogo SP - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2
02.07.16	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo SP	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.26	Botafogo SP - Sport Recife	✺

Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo SP