The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guaraní Asuncion 43.2%
Draw 30.8%
Botafogo SP 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
31.6%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
24.7%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo SP's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo SP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).
Guaraní is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Botafogo SP is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Botafogo SP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Guaraní will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.