Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 5

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Pereira Sampaio S. (Bra)


	Botafogo SP		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.14	2.9	3.65
	2.25	3	3.93
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.12	3.2	3.65
	2.17	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.42)	3.03 ↑ (2.94)	3.58 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
43.2%

Draw
30.7%

Vitória Salvador
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

33.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Botafogo SP - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vitória is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Botafogo SP will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Ericson (Injury) Marcio Silva (Red Card)

There will not play in Vitória: Diego Fumaca (Injury) Giovanni Augusto (Injury) Marco Antonio (Injury) Thiago Rodrigues (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
02.05.23	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.04.23	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.04.23	Botafogo SP - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Juventude - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
28.04.23	Vitória Salvador - Londrina	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	ABC - Vitória Salvador	0:3 ✺
16.04.23	Vitória Salvador - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.23	Campinense - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
08.03.23	Vitória Salvador - Ceará	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
19.06.22	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo SP	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
26.01.21	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo SP	1:0
25.10.20	Botafogo SP - Vitória Salvador	2:1
30.08.19	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo SP	0:0
27.04.19	Botafogo SP - Vitória Salvador	3:1

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