Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Guaraní Asuncion		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.3	Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.05
	3.1	2.95	2.25	Watch
	3.29	3.2	2.44
	3.15	3.17	2.32	Watch
	3.15	3	2.4
	3.09	3.09	2.37	Watch
	3	2.95	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	2.3 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
29.6%

Draw
30.2%

Cerro Porteño
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.9%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

30.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Martinez M. (G) 4. Mendez A. 2. Segovia I. 15. Servin T. 33. Allende L. 8. Lopez M. 36. Martinez L. (C) 25. Gomez G. 26. Fernandez D. 21. Arrua C. 11. Garcia J.	1. Roffo M. (G) 16. Ramirez I. 4. Canete Torres A. D. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. (C) 6. Merolla L. 15. Riveros B. 32. Bobadilla C. 5. Morel J. 34. Chena C. 31. Aliseda I. 19. Vegetti P.
Substitutes
10. Anasco M. 17. Cespedes V. 38. Coronel P. 12. Dionisi G. (G) 40. Fernandez F. 23. Jacquet M. 29. Llano J. 34. Maldonado M. 9. Recalde J. 14. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 39. Rolon C. 22. Velazquez J.	24. Acosta E. 20. Almendra A. E. 13. Benitez A. G. 18. Gamarra A. 30. Gimenez G. 40. Klimowicz M. 33. Luciatti A. 12. Martinez A. (G) 26. Piris R. 7. Rodriguez D. 39. Servin L. J. 27. Torres J.
Coaches
Arce F.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 1 - 0, Fernandez D. ⚽, Arrua C. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Canete Torres A. D. ⚽, Aliseda I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bobadilla C. ↓, Gamarra A. ↑,
52', Fernandez D. 🟨,
63', Merolla L. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
63', Riveros B. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
67', Arrua C. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
72', Gomez G. 🟨,
76', Garcia J. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
76', Fernandez D. ↓, Coronel P. ↑,
76', Gomez G. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
78', Aliseda I. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
83', Segovia I. 🟨,
84', Vegetti P. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Mendez A. ↓, Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. ↑,
90+2', Chena C. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,
90+7', Piris R. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 0.

In recent matches, Guaraní has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cerro Porteño is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cerro Porteño will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21
8	Cerro Porteno	13	5	2	6	15:14	1	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.09.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTTL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.08.26	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
11.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
07.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	0:2
02.11.25	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
16.08.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	3:4
10.05.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	0:2
02.03.25	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
16.11.24	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2

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