Match Info

Date: 16 December 2020, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Guaraní Asuncion		Confiança

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.1
	2.33	2.75	3.1
	2.32	2.9	3.15
	2.42	3.06	3.41
	2.35	2.88	3.3
	2.39	2.9	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.17)	2.91 ↓ (2.93)	3.25 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
39.4%

Draw
32%

Confiança
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

31.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Confiança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guaraní Asuncion - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

Guaraní is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Confiança is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Confiança could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
13.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Guaraní Asuncion	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.12.20	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
08.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.12.20	Osasco Sporting - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTWWW
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
12.12.20	Confiança - Juventude	0:1 ✺
08.12.20	Confiança - CS Alagoano	1:5 ✺
04.12.20	Vitória Salvador - Confiança	2:3 ✺
01.12.20	Confiança - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
27.11.20	Cruzeiro - Confiança	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.09.20	Confiança - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
Copa do Brasil
17.04.13	Guaraní Asuncion - Confiança	1:1 pen.
10.04.13	Confiança - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0

Guaraní Asuncion - Confiança

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion - Confiança Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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