Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Confiança		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.8	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3	3.8	Watch
	1.87	3.15	4.2
	1.96	3.22	4.65
	1.95	3	4.2
	1.96	3.22	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.35)	3.14 ↑ (3.08)	4.06 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
47.9%

Draw
29.4%

Juventude
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

22.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Confiança's performance.

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Confiança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	33.3%	29.2%

Confiança - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Juventude will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Confiança: 18.1% – 56.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Confiança is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Juventude is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventude could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Confiança will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
08.12.20	Confiança - CS Alagoano	1:5 ✺
04.12.20	Vitória Salvador - Confiança	2:3 ✺
01.12.20	Confiança - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
27.11.20	Cruzeiro - Confiança	1:2 ✺
24.11.20	Confiança - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWTWW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
08.12.20	Juventude - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Juventude - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
02.12.20	Botafogo SP - Juventude	1:1 ✺
28.11.20	Juventude - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
24.11.20	América Mineiro - Juventude	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.09.20	Juventude - Confiança	3:1

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