Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guaraní Asuncion		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.00	3.00	3.40
	2.05	3.15	3.5	Watch
	2.09	3.2	3.91
	2.01	3.37	3.72	Watch
	2.06	3.1	3.85
	2.07	3.13	3.76	Watch
	2	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.75)	3.15 ↓ (3.45)	3.63 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
45.4%

Draw
29.2%

Sportivo Luqueño
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Servio G. (C) 14. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 3. Barbotte A. 2. Segovia I. 24. Espinola J. 8. Lopez M. 36. Martinez L. 5. Tanda P. 10. Anasco M. 40. Fernandez F. 26. Fernandez D.	1. Campisi N. (G) 2. Barreto M. 5. Diaz J. 6. Wiechniak F. 23. Cantero A. 10. Bogado G. 21. Ojeda M. 8. Maiz A. 11. Ruiz O. 37. Comas L. (C) 20. Maggi I.
Substitutes
21. Arrua C. 17. Cespedes V. 11. Garcia J. 25. Gomez G. 35. Gonzalez P. 23. Jacquet M. 29. Llano J. 34. Maldonado M. 13. Martinez A. (G) 37. Perez D. 20. Quinonez R. 18. Romero T.	14. Benitez F. 3. Brizuela A. 9. Gonzalez W. 26. Lopez O. 15. Maldonado S. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 12. Mongelos F. (G) 4. Morales L. 22. Ocampos S. 7. Pereira K. 25. Ramos J. 32. Riveros M.
Coaches
Galeano A.	Lopez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Barbotte A. 🟨,
35', Anasco M. 🟨,
45+3', Bogado G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Maggi I. (Penalty Awarded),
53', 1 - 0, Fernandez F. ⚽, Anasco M. (A),
64', 1 - 1, Ojeda M. ⚽, Maiz A. (A),
66', Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
66', Lopez M. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
67', Comas L. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
67', Ruiz O. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Morales L. ⚽,
74', Tanda P. 🟨,
77', Diaz J. ↓, Brizuela A. ↑,
77', Tanda P. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
77', Espinola J. ↓, Jacquet M. ↑,
79', Fernandez F. ↓, Romero T. ↑,
82', Ojeda M. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
82', Maggi I. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4.

Guaraní could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21
9	Sp. Luqueno	13	4	1	8	14:24	-10	13

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Luqueño - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLT
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
18.04.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1
23.02.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	3:2
30.11.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1
05.09.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3
24.05.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1
23.03.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
Copa Paraguay
03.12.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 penalties

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