Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 22

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ricardo Gregor (Asunción)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Recoleta		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.05	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.11	3.46	2.27
	3.07	3.4	2.22	Watch
	3	3.25	2.2
	3.14	3.28	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
29.9%

Draw
28%

Guaraní Asuncion
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.3%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Toledo O. (G) 15. Medina B. 4. Pereira M. 32. Monzon L. 18. Rios P. 10. Noguera J. 8. Galeano F. 6. Espinola J. 17. Baez W. (C) 11. Parzajuk K. 29. Wlk A.	1. Servio G. (C) 14. Ramos M. 2. Segovia I. 4. Zaracho S. 15. Servin T. 8. Lopez M. 36. Martinez L. 5. Tanda P. 26. Fernandez D. 17. Torales R. 29. Llano J.
Substitutes
27. Dominguez Castillo J. C. 14. Figueredo C. 21. Garay C. 33. Gonzalez A. 19. Lopez H. 1. Marsengo A. (G) 25. Mosquera D. 23. Nunez J. 9. Ortiz R. 31. Schupp M. 16. Vera C. 24. Vidal T.	31. Arzamendia M. (G) 3. Barbotte A. 33. Ferreira Gonzalez K. 25. Gomez G. 27. Gomez M. 11. Jhon Sanchez 34. Maldonado M. 20. Quinonez R. 9. Ramirez I. 19. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 28. Romero N.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Romagnoli L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Wlk A. ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Zaracho S. ⚽, Llano J. (A),
27', Baez W. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Baez W. ⚽, Wlk A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rios P. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
57', Noguera J. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
57', Baez W. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
60', Tanda P. 🟨,
62', Galeano F. 🟨,
64', Lopez M. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
75', Llano J. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
75', Fernandez D. ↓, Ferreira Gonzalez K. ↑,
80', Segovia I. 🟨,
82', Wlk A. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
85', Tanda P. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
89', Parzajuk K. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
90', Toledo O. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recoleta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guaraní will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21
11	Recoleta	13	2	2	9	14:26	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Recoleta	2:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
11.05.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Santos	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TLLTW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
18.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1
18.10.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1
04.08.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3
02.05.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion	0:3
21.02.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:3
Copa Paraguay
14.10.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0

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