Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 21

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Romero B. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Guaraní Asuncion		Tacuary

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.4	4.1	6.25
	1.42	4.3	7
	1.45	4.55	6.9
	1.14	6.88	14.49	Watch
	1.35	4.33	7.5
	1.41	4.41	7.6	Watch
	1.42	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)	4.62 ↑ (3.8)	7.91 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
67.9%

Draw
20.2%

Tacuary
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.3%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guaraní Asuncion's performance.

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Servio G. (C) 37. Perez D. 5. Lopez M. 3. Riveros P. 32. Cantero A. 2. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 7. Manzur A. 36. Martinez L. 28. Leguizamon A. 29. Barrientos N. 17. Alcaraz A.	30. Paredes A. (G) 34. Arguello M. 33. Caceres L. (C) 14. Pedrozo R. 28. Gimenez C. 16. Servin J. 26. Fernandez D. 11. Brizuela F. 8. Amarilla A. 9. Gamarra P. 10. Colman O.
Substitutes
16. Cespedes V. 9. Gonzalez W. 4. Ibarrola W. 6. Marecos G. 25. Marin A. 10. Martinez M. 18. Mino Amarilla C. E. 35. Pereira A. 11. Prieto R. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 27. Roman Torales F. J. 14. Vargas G.	7. Alcaraz F. 35. Bedoya S. . Bento A. 32. Burgos Velazquez G. 12. Cano Bordaberry A. R. (G) 15. Duarte D. 3. Franco J. 27. Medina G. 36. Nunez M. 5. Pena A. 2. Pinho H. 19. Ramirez R.
Coaches
Arce F.	Vera E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Colman O. ⚽,
31', Leguizamon A. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Servio G. (Pen),
45+2', Amarilla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
46', Barrientos N. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
55', Fernandez D. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
56', Gamarra Arandi P. R. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
59', Alcaraz A. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
63', Amarilla A. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
63', Brizuela F. ↓, Duarte Ramirez D. M. ↑,
70', Colman O. ↓, Bedoya S. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Pereira A. ⚽,
78', Manzur A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tacuary could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guaraní is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:13 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:3 (average 1.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
20.11.24	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.11.24	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	General Caballero JLM - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
28.10.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTTT
- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.11.24	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	3:1 ✺
04.11.24	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Tacuary - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	General Caballero JLM - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
13.09.24	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2
21.04.24	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	4:4
28.01.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	3:0
08.10.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	2:0
21.07.23	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
17.05.23	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3
14.03.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0

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