Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 29

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Guarani		Avaí

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.75	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.7
	2.25	2.85	3.6
	2.25	2.91	3.95
	2.2	2.84	3.89	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.7
	2.19	2.93	3.74
	2.25	2.85	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.26)	2.87 ↓ (3)	3.74 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
42.4%

Draw
32.6%

Avaí
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.2%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Guarani - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pegorari (G) 2. Heitor 23. Douglas Bacelar 13. Matheus Salustiano (C) 6. Emerson 18. Matheus Bueno 47. Pierre 10. Luan Dias 19. Joao Victor 77. Marlon Maranhao 99. Caio Dantas	31. Cesar Augusto (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 3. Tiago Pagnussat 14. Vilar 6. Willian Maranhao 93. Judson 72. Rodrigo Santos 21. Pedro Castro 8. Giovanni 27. Pedrinho 9. Vagner Love (C)
Substitutes
5. Anderson Leite 11. Estevao 33. Gabriel Bispo 17. Jefferson 39. Lohan 12. Lucas Adell 21. Lucas Araujo 7. Marcelinho 28. Pacheco 15. Rene 89. Vladimir (G) 29. Yan Henrique	99. Ademilson 5. Alan 78. Andrey 19. Joao Paulo 95. Jonathan Costa 2. Kevin 11. Mauricio Garcez 66. Otavio Passos (G) 28. Ronaldo Henrique 90. Willian Pottker 77. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Aal A.	Moreira E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Pierre 🟨,
32', Judson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pierre ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
46', Judson ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
54', Pedrinho 🟨,
57', Pedrinho ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
65', Aal A. 🟨,
65', Joao Victor ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
66', Estevao ↓, Lohan ↑,
71', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
75', Vagner Love 🟨,
75', Vagner Love ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
75', Pedro Castro ↓, Ademilson ↑,
75', Anderson Leite 🟨,
85', Giovanni ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
85', Heitor ↓, Pacheco ↑,
90', Emerson ↓, Jefferson ↑,
90+2', Willian Pottker 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guarani will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Guarani: Reinaldo (Red Card)

There will not play in Avaí: Igor Bohn (Injury) Jean Lucas (Injury) Mario Sergio (Injury) Roberto Rosa (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guarani won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 2.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
24.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Guarani	1:0 ✺
17.09.24	Guarani - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Paysandu - Guarani	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	América Mineiro - Guarani	3:0 ✺
03.09.24	Guarani - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
22.09.24	Chapecoense - Avaí	1:0 ✺
17.09.24	Avaí - Ituano	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Avaí - Sport Recife	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	CRB Maceio - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.06.24	Avaí - Guarani	3:2
29.07.23	Avaí - Guarani	1:2
14.04.23	Guarani - Avaí	4:1
13.11.21	Guarani - Avaí	4:0
10.08.21	Avaí - Guarani	0:1

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