Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 24

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Augusto V. C. M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Guarani		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	3.3	Watch
	2.45	2.7	3.1
	2.5	2.85	3.1
	2.57	2.79	3.44
	2.5	2.76	3.32	Watch
	2.4	2.88	3.2
	2.44	2.89	3.23
	2.5	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	2.81 ↓ (3.01)	3.22 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
37.7%

Draw
33.3%

Coritiba
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.1%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	50%	41.7%

Guarani - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Coritiba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Vladimir (G) 28. Pacheco 23. Douglas Bacelar 13. Matheus Salustiano (C) 17. Jefferson 33. Gabriel Bispo 18. Matheus Bueno 10. Luan Dias 19. Joao Victor 99. Caio Dantas 30. Airton	72. Pedro Morisco (G) 16. Natanael 14. Thalisson 4. Benevenuto 26. Bruno Melo 8. Ze Gabriel 40. Everton Morelli 36. Vini Paulista 10. Matheus Frizzo 98. Lucas Ronier 30. Robson (C)
Substitutes
5. Anderson Leite 4. Bruno Oliveira 6. Emerson 2. Heitor 39. Lohan 12. Lucas Adell 8. Marlon Douglas 77. Marlon Maranhao 1. Pegorari (G) 47. Pierre 20. Reinaldo 29. Yan Henrique	67. Benassi (G) 21. Brandao 7. Castillo E. 22. Figueiredo 38. Geovane Meurer 83. Jamerson 43. Jhonny 27. Josue 9. Junior Brumado 18. Matheus Bianqui 5. Mauricio Antonio 57. Wesley Pomba
Coaches
Aal A.	Jorginho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Joao Victor ⚽, Luan Dias (A),
45', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ze Gabriel ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Natanael (A),
51', 2 - 1, Gabriel Bispo ⚽, Jefferson (A),
62', Airton ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
75', Caio Dantas ↓, Lohan ↑,
75', Luan Dias ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
77', Thalisson ↓, Jamerson ↑,
78', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Figueiredo ↑,
86', Joao Victor ↓, Heitor ↑,
86', Matheus Bueno ↓, Pierre ↑,
89', Lucas Ronier ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
89', Robson ↓, Josue ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 11).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Coritiba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guarani will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Guarani: Bruno Mendes (Injury)

There are questionable in Guarani: Marcio Silva (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.24	Guarani - Santos	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Chapecoense - Guarani	0:4 ✺
12.08.24	Guarani - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Ceará - Guarani	3:1 ✺
28.07.24	Guarani - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWWLW
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
27.08.24	Coritiba - Avaí	1:0 ✺
22.08.24	Sport Recife - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
18.08.24	Brusque - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Coritiba - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.05.24	Coritiba - Guarani	1:0
25.09.21	Coritiba - Guarani	1:0
25.06.21	Guarani - Coritiba	0:2

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