Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 11

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Guarani		Velo Clube

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.86	3	4.3
	1.85	3.37	4.68
	1.85	3.25	4.59	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.33
	1.87	3.23	4.94	Watch
	1.86	3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.77)	3.15 ↓ (3.42)	4.56 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
50.2%

Draw
29.5%

Velo Clube
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The chances for Velo Clube have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Guarani - Velo Clube Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Velo Clube will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 2. Yan Henrique 3. Raphael 4. Lucao 6. Emerson 5. Nathan Camargo 8. Caio Mello 10. Anderson Leite (C) 7. Rafael Bilu 11. Joao Marcelo 9. Deni Junior	1. Pablo (G) 3. Rafael Ribeiro 5. Marcelo Augusto 4. Mancha 2. Yuri Ferraz 7. Pedro Favela 8. Leo Baiano 6. Leo Campos 10. Sillas 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Daniel Amorim
Substitutes
13. Caio Dias 22. Caue Raphael 15. Daniel 12. Fred Conte (G) 20. Isaque 21. Joao Victor 23. Leo Porfirio 19. Luiz Miguel 17. Nascimento R. 14. Titi 16. Vinicius Kaue 18. Yuji	22. Caio Bolonhin (G) 15. Carlos Manuel 19. Cauari 12. Dalton (G) 14. Itambe 13. Julio Vaz 18. Lucas Duni 17. Pedro Cacho 16. Rennan Siqueira
Coaches
Mauricio Souza	Guilherme Alves

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Raphael ⚽, Emerson (A),
17', Pedro Favela 🟨,
38', Nathan Camargo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pedro Favela ↓, Carlos Manuel ↑,
66', Joao Marcelo ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
70', Jefferson Nem ↓, Lucas Duni ↑,
72', Rafael Bilu ↓, Luiz Miguel ↑,
72', Anderson Leite ↓, Isaque ↑,
74', Leo Baiano ↓, Pedro Cacho ↑,
81', Luiz Miguel 🟨,
84', Rafael Ribeiro ↓, Cauari ↑,
90+1', Deni Junior ↓, Titi ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Lucas Duni ⚽,

Preview

Guarani is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Velo Clube is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Velo Clube could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guarani is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.02.25	São Bernardo - Guarani	1:0 ✺
13.02.25	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Guarani - Água Santa	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Guarani - Palmeiras	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWL
- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.02.25	Velo Clube - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	São Paulo - Velo Clube	3:3 ✺
08.02.25	Botafogo SP - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Velo Clube - Portuguesa	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Velo Clube - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTLTL

Guarani - Velo Clube: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide