Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 7

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Rosario M. d. S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Guarani		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4.1
	1.92	3.05	3.9
	1.92	3.35	4.41
	1.91	3.21	4.33	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	1.85	3.32	4.17
	1.92	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.91)	3.19 ↓ (3.27)	4.13 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
48.5%

Draw
29.1%

Água Santa
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.5%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

27.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Água Santa aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Guarani - Água Santa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Água Santa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 2. Lucas Justen 3. Raphael (C) 4. Lucao 6. Emerson 5. Nathan Camargo 8. Mateus Sarara 7. Luiz Miguel 10. Joao Victor 11. Joao Marcelo 9. Denilson	1. Ygor Vinhas (G) 2. Diogo Batista 3. Fabio Sanches (C) 4. Rafael Vaz 5. Robles Fuentes A. 11. Wesley Dias 6. Guilherme Lazaroni 8. Netinho 7. Neilton 10. Luan Dias 9. Ademilson
Substitutes
20. Anderson Leite 13. Caio Dias 18. Caio Mello 22. Caue Raphael 15. Daniel 19. Eliseu Manuel 12. Fred Conte (G) 21. Isaque 23. Leo Porfirio 14. Pedro Manoel 17. Rafael Bilu 16. Vinicius Kaue	22. Arthur Korek 18. Davi Gomes 13. Diego Anjos 19. Gabriel Silva 12. Luan Ribeiro (G) 14. Lucas Rocha 25. Mike 20. Ramon Vinicius 16. Renan Castro 15. Stephanno 21. Willen Mota 17. Ynaia
Coaches
Mauricio Souza	de Souza M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Nathan Camargo ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Joao Marcelo ⚽,
33', Netinho 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Joao Victor ⚽,
45+2', 4 - 0, Denilson ⚽, Joao Marcelo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wesley Dias ↓, Villian Guilherme ↑,
46', Luan Dias ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
46', Neilton ↓, Mike ↑,
46', Nathan Camargo ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
46', Lucas Justen ↓, Caue Raphael ↑,
52', Villian Guilherme 🟨,
58', Denilson 🟨,
64', Mateus Sarara ↓, Caio Mello ↑,
66', Fabio Sanches 🟨,
68', Denilson ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
68', Netinho ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
71', Diogo Batista ↓, Ynaia ↑,
76', Luiz Miguel ↓, Isaque ↑,
81', Ademilson 🟨,
86', Rafael Vaz 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.02.25	Guarani - Palmeiras	1:4 ✺
29.01.25	Mirassol - Guarani	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Guarani - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
23.01.25	São Paulo - Guarani	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Internacional de Limeira - Guarani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.02.25	Água Santa - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Botafogo SP - Água Santa	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0 ✺
22.01.25	Corinthians - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Mirassol - Água Santa	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWLL

Guarani - Água Santa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide