Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 4

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Distrital do Jardim Inamar (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Nunes G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
World	Fanatiz


	Água Santa		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.85
	4.51	3.58	1.84
	4.51	3.48	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.83
	4.31	3.48	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (4.34)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Água Santa
21.4%

Draw
27.1%

Red Bull Bragantino
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

27.4%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Água Santa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Água Santa will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ygor Vinhas (G) 3. Fabio Sanches (C) 4. Robles Fuentes A. 5. Villian Guilherme 11. Marco Antonio 8. Netinho 2. Diogo Batista 10. Luan Dias 7. Neilton 6. Renan Castro 9. Ademilson	1. Cleiton (C) 52. Vinicius Lago 14. Pedro Henrique 2. Rodriguez G. 31. Guilherme 7. Eric Ramires 6. Gabriel 10. Jhon Jhon 22. Gustavinho 18. Borbas T. 33. Laquintana I.
Substitutes
22. Arthur Korek 19. Davi Gomes 13. Diego Anjos 20. Gabriel Silva 16. Guilherme Lazaroni 12. Luan Ribeiro (G) 25. Mike 17. Pereira B. 14. Roger Fellipo 21. Ryan Santos 15. Stephanno 18. Ynaia	54. Andre Cardoso 53. Chumbinho 39. Douglas Mendes 19. Eduardo Sasha 34. Hurtado A. 5. Jadsom 29. Juninho Capixaba 40. Lucao (G) 4. Lucas Cunha 8. Lucas Evangelista 17. Vinicinho 50. Vitinho
Coaches
Marcelo Cabo	Seabra F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', Cleiton 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Luan Dias (Pen),
42', 2 - 0, Diogo Batista ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Neilton ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
60', Eric Ramires ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
60', Laquintana I. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
60', Gustavinho ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
71', Marco Antonio ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Ademilson ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
75', Gabriel ↓, Jadsom ↑,
78', Eduardo Sasha 🟥,
80', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
81', Borbas T. 🟨,
82', Renan Castro ↓, Guilherme Lazaroni ↑,
83', Villian Guilherme ↓, Diego Anjos ↑,
83', Ademilson ↓, Arthur Korek ↑,
87', Jadsom 🟨,
90+1', Jhon Jhon ↓, Vitinho ↑,

Preview

Recent matches RB Bragantino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RB Bragantino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match RB Bragantino is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Água Santa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Água Santa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.25	Corinthians - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Mirassol - Água Santa	6:0 ✺
16.01.25	Água Santa - São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.08.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Água Santa - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	São Bernardo - Red Bull Bragantino	3:2 ✺
16.01.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	5:1 ✺
05.12.24	Athletico Paranaense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Água Santa	0:1
20.03.23	Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 penalties
15.02.23	Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
17.02.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Água Santa	2:0
13.03.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Água Santa	4:0

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