Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Murilo V. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Fanatiz


	Botafogo SP		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.9
	1.95	3.25	4	Watch
	2.04	3.23	4.15
	1.99	3.19	4.01	Watch
	2	2.9	3.8
	1.95	3.15	3.97	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.96)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	3.94 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
47%

Draw
29.4%

Água Santa
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.2%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Botafogo SP - Água Santa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Água Santa will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Água Santa: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Carlos (G) 2. Jeferson 4. Allyson 3. Alisson Cassiano 6. Risso G. 5. Gabriel Bispo 10. Maciel L. 8. Dramisino A. 11. Jonathan Cafu 9. Pablo Thomaz 7. Douglas Baggio (C)	1. Ygor Vinhas (G) 2. Diogo Batista 3. Fabio Sanches (C) 4. Robles Fuentes A. 6. Renan Castro 11. Gabriel Silva 5. Villian Guilherme 8. Netinho 7. Neilton 10. Luan Dias 9. Ademilson
Substitutes
21. Abdulai S. 19. Alexandre Jesus 12. Brenno Klippel (G) 14. Edson 13. Ericson 15. Jean Mangabeira 16. Jean Victor 23. Joao Costa 17. Jonas Toro 18. Pedro Severino 20. Silvinho 22. Wallison	22. Arthur Korek 19. Davi Gomes 13. Diego Anjos 16. Guilherme Lazaroni 12. Luan Ribeiro (G) 15. Lucas Rocha 25. Mike 20. Ramon Vinicius 14. Roger Fellipo 17. Wesley Dias 21. Willen Mota 18. Ynaia
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	de Souza M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Netinho 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Allyson ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Neilton (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabriel Silva ↓, Roger Fellipo ↑,
46', Netinho ↓, Wesley Dias ↑,
48', Jeferson 🟨,
51', Douglas Baggio ↓, Silvinho ↑,
62', Ademilson ↓, Willen Mota ↑,
63', Neilton ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
73', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Abdulai S. ↑,
73', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Pedro Severino ↑,
79', Villian Guilherme ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
79', Fabio Sanches 🟨,
81', Jeferson ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
90+4', Abdulai S. 🟨,
90+4', Ramon Vinicius 🟨,

Preview

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Botafogo SP will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
20.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Guarani - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.11.24	Coritiba - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTTLW
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.01.25	Água Santa - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0 ✺
22.01.25	Corinthians - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Mirassol - Água Santa	6:0 ✺
16.01.25	Água Santa - São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.08.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.01.24	Água Santa - Botafogo SP	0:1
25.02.23	Água Santa - Botafogo SP	1:0
12.02.22	Botafogo SP - Água Santa	0:2
14.02.20	Botafogo SP - Água Santa	1:1
19.03.16	Água Santa - Botafogo SP	1:1

Upcoming Matches