Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Batalha M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Fanatiz


	Mirassol		Guarani

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.55	3.9	6
	1.53	4	6	Watch
	1.53	3.99	6.46
	1.56	3.82	6.19	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.51	3.84	6.26
	1.53	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 (1.53)	3.87 ↑ (3.45)	6.05 ↓ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
60.6%

Draw
24%

Guarani
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

26.6%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Mirassol - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Guarani will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Joao Marcelo ⚽, Luiz Miguel (A),
16', 1 - 1, Gabriel ⚽, Lucas Ramon (A),
39', 2 - 1, Negueba ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, Geovane ⚽, Joao Marcelo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gabriel Mesquita ↓, Fred Conte ↑,
46', Chico Kim ↓, Clayson ↑,
60', Negueba ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
60', Iury Castilho ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
60', Gabriel ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
66', 3 - 2, Lucas Ramon ⚽,
76', Geovane ↓, Denilson ↑,
77', Luiz Miguel ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
78', Joao Victor ↓, Leo Porfirio ↑,
78', Alex Muralha 🟨,
83', Emerson ↓, Vinicius Kaue ↑,
88', Reinaldo ↓, Zeca ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 2.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 1.4:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.25	Mirassol - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
23.01.25	São Bernardo - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Mirassol - Água Santa	6:0 ✺
16.01.25	Santos - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	Mirassol - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.25	Guarani - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
23.01.25	São Paulo - Guarani	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Internacional de Limeira - Guarani	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Guarani - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	Guarani - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.09.24	Guarani - Mirassol	1:0
04.06.24	Mirassol - Guarani	3:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.01.24	Guarani - Mirassol	2:3
Brazilian Serie B
20.10.23	Mirassol - Guarani	0:0
28.06.23	Guarani - Mirassol	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
17.03.23	Mirassol - Guarani	1:0
03.02.22	Mirassol - Guarani	2:0

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