The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarani U20 25.6%
Draw 28%
Corinthians U20 46.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26%
27.6%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
26.4%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
The chances for Corinthians U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians U20 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Guarani U20 - Corinthians U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
Guarani U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Corinthians U20 is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Corinthians U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Guarani U20 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).