Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Guarani U20		Ponte Preta U20

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.85	4.35
	1.58	4.05	4.38
	1.76	3.74	4.00	Watch
	1.66	3.93	4.48	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.55)	3.87 ↓ (4)	4.31 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani U20
55.4%

Draw
23.5%

Ponte Preta U20
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.4%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ponte Preta U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarani U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Guarani U20 - Ponte Preta U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Guarani U20 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ponte Preta U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Guarani U20 is considered a favorite.

We predict that Guarani U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guarani U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
03.10.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Guarani U20	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Guarani U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Grêmio Prudente U20 - Guarani U20	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Guarani U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Guarani U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWW
- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
03.10.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Guarani U20	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ituano U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:2 penalties ✺
19.09.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Ituano U20	1:1 ✺
10.09.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Capivariano U20	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Capivariano U20 - Ponte Preta U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
03.10.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Guarani U20	0:1

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