Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 24 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Estrela d'Alva (Bage)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Guarany de Bagé |
|
FC Cascavel |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.35 |
2.72 |
2.36 |
|
 |
3.57 |
2.5 |
2.46 |
|
 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
2.38 |
|
 |
3.39 |
2.64 |
2.34 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(2.83) |
2.59 ↓
(2.69) |
2.39 ↓
(2.58) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guarany de Bagé
26.9% | Draw
35.1% | FC Cascavel
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)FC Cascavel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (-3%)Guarany de Bagé - FC Cascavel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 🟥,
- 27', 0 - 1, Ze Carlos ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 50', 🟥,
- 65', 0 - 2, Ze Carlos ⚽,
- 69', 0 - 3, Ze Carlos ⚽,
- 80', 0 - 4, Kauhe Galdino ⚽,
Preview
Recent form of Guarany de Bagé has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).FC Cascavel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).FC Cascavel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. FC Cascavel could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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