Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Romero B. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:20	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	19:20	Tigo Sports
Usa	18:20	Fanatiz


	Olimpia Asuncion		2 de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7	Watch
	1.42	4.10	6.00
	1.36	4.3	7.2	Watch
	1.4	4.88	8.04
	1.42	4.33	7.6	Watch
	1.39	4.65	7.25
	1.42	4.5	7.15	Watch
	1.37	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)	4.42 ↑ (4)	7.16 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
66.2%

Draw
20.9%

2 de Mayo
12.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.8%

23.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

23%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Asuncion's performance.

2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Olimpia Asuncion - 2 de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olveira G. (G) 27. Caceres R. 22. Vera J. 15. Gamarra M. 23. Matus E. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 7. Cardozo F. 5. Alfaro J. F. 20. Delmas E. 11. Ferreira S. 9. Avalos G.	1. Rossi N. (G) 23. Espinola A. 21. Sosa P. (C) 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 19. Castro C. 24. Romero O. 37. Delgadillo L. 10. Gomez A. 30. Farina A. 17. Delvalle P. 25. Cervera T.
Substitutes
35. Alfonso F. 37. Benitez R. 2. Bentaberry B. 24. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 29. Leguizamon I. 12. Lentinelly S. (G) 4. Payne T. 17. Redes R. 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 26. Sanchez R. 14. Vargas G.	8. Aguilera A. D. 7. Caceres Aguero F. M. 11. Coronel U. 20. Diaz E. 2. Gomez R. 40. Gonzalez M. 22. Portillo Avalos T. G. 32. Ramirez M. (G) 5. Saiz C. 4. Sanabria T. 9. Sanguina J. 3. Villalba A.
Coaches
Sanchez P.	Ledesma E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Ortiz R. (A),
27', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,
32', Vera J. ↓, Vargas G. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Delgadillo L. ↓, Sanabria T. ↑,
51', Farina A. 🟨,
57', Espinola A. ↓, Villalba A. ↑,
57', Ferreira S. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
64', Farina A. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
64', Delvalle P. ↓, Portillo Avalos T. G. ↑,
68', Avalos G. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
68', Delmas E. ↓, Alfonso F. ↑,
68', Romero O. 🟨,
69', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Redes R. ↑,
82', Cervera T. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Gamarra M. ⚽, Cardozo F. (A),
88', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟨,
90', Sosa P. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Redes R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd and 1st in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, Olimpia enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Olimpia has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:13 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Olimpia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 13:7 goals (averaging 2.6:1.4 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	16	10	3	3	28:12	16	33
5	2 de Mayo	16	8	5	3	18:17	1	29

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Asuncion - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.10.26	Rubio Ñu - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0 ✺
06.10.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
01.10.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLWW
- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.10.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	2:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
22.09.26	2 de Mayo - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.26	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0
28.03.26	Olimpia Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	4:1
28.01.26	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1
26.11.25	Olimpia Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	3:3
07.09.25	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	3:2
18.05.25	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0
09.03.25	Olimpia Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	2:1

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