Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: La Arboleda (Asunción)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+
Usa	Fanatiz


	Rubio Ñu		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3	2.15	Watch
	3.96	3.16	2.07
	3.81	3.33	2	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.66	2.99	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.11)	3.05 ↓ (3.36)	2.09 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubio Ñu
25.5%

Draw
30.3%

Guaraní Asuncion
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

27.8%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Guaraní (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Fragueda F. (G) 2. Ferreira R. 31. Blasi B. 3. Vallejos J. 33. Alborno R. 35. Montiel L. 8. Rojas R. 38. Manzur G. 36. Gimenez C. 10. Mendieta W. (C) 21. Sarquis E.	1. Servio G. (C) 14. Ramos M. 2. Segovia I. 4. Zaracho S. 15. Servin T. 7. Manzur A. 36. Martinez L. 11. Jhon Sanchez 38. Coronel P. 8. Lopez M. 40. Fernandez F.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez Benitez P. 30. Ayala P. 13. Cabanas V. 19. Frean S. 11. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 27. Gomez S. 4. Gonzalez J. 40. Perez E. 37. Roldan M. 23. Ruiz Diaz S. 22. Tales (G) 18. Villagra C.	31. Arzamendia M. (G) 3. Barbotte A. 26. Fernandez D. 27. Gomez M. 29. Llano J. 16. Paredes L. 37. Perez D. 9. Ramirez I. 19. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 28. Romero N. 5. Tanda P. 17. Torales R.
Coaches
Morinigo G.	Romagnoli L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Manzur G. 🟨,
41', Segovia I. 🟨,
42', Mendieta W. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Rojas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
54', Vallejos J. 🟨,
60', Mendieta W. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Zaracho S. ⚽, Fernandez D. (A),
68', Manzur G. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
68', Sarquis E. ↓, Villagra C. ↑,
68', Gimenez C. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
70', Manzur A. ↓, Tanda P. ↑,
70', Coronel P. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Fernandez D. ⚽, Fernandez F. (A),
79', Servin T. ↓, Barbotte A. ↑,
81', Montiel L. ↓, Ruiz Diaz S. ↑,
83', Fernandez F. ↓, Torales R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 1.

Rubio Ñu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guaraní's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rubio Ñu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guaraní has had a series of home games.

Guaraní will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21
10	Rubio Nu	13	3	3	7	15:24	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.03.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Rubio Ñu - Cerro Porteño	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
01.02.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	4:0
12.11.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:1
01.09.17	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
18.06.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:1
02.04.17	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2
25.09.16	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2
08.07.16	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:0

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