Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 17

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251


	Gubbio		Pescara

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3	3.2	2.29
	3.45	3.09	2.22
	3.37	3.13	2.23	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.23	3.13	2.13	Watch
	3	3.2	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.81)	3.14 ↓ (3.22)	2.2 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
29%

Draw
29.3%

Pescara
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Gubbio - Pescara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 5. D'Avino L. 15. Signorini A. (C) 33. Rocchi G. 24. Zallu F. 6. Franchini S. 80. Proietti M. 28. Maisto F. 25. David A. 7. D'Ursi E. 30. Fossati D.	1. Saio I. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 33. Mule E. 23. Pellacani F. (C) 6. Squizzato N. 14. Valzania L. 16. Crialese C. 17. Tunjov G. 21. Ferraris A. 15. Tonin R. 10. Merola D.
Substitutes
1. Bolletta L. (G) 34. Conti V. 39. Mancini R. 31. Pirrello R. 16. Sportolaro C. 13. Stramaccioni D. 9. Tommasini C. 4. Tozzuolo A.	20. Bentivegna A. 11. Cangiano G. 8. Dagasso M. 28. De Marco A. 3. Giannini D. 7. Meazzi L. 27. Moruzzi B. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 25. Staver C. 9. Vergani E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Proietti M. 🟥,
61', 0 - 1, Merola D. ⚽,
62', Merola D. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
62', Tunjov G. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑,
62', Crialese C. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
71', Tonin R. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Ferraris A. ⚽,
74', Fossati D. ↓, Pirrello R. ↑,
75', D'Ursi E. ↓, Conti V. ↑,
82', Squizzato N. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
83', Franchini S. ↓, Mancini R. ↑,
86', Mancini R. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Rocchi G. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gubbio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Pescara - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.02%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
24.11.24	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Gubbio - Carpi	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Gubbio - Rimini	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.24	Pescara - Pineto	0:1 ✺
21.11.24	Pescara - Milan Futuro	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	Arezzo - Pescara	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Pescara - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.02.24	Gubbio - Pescara	4:0
02.10.23	Pescara - Gubbio	3:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Pescara - Gubbio	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
04.05.22	Pescara - Gubbio	2:2
06.02.22	Pescara - Gubbio	3:1
28.09.21	Gubbio - Pescara	2:2
Italian Serie B
28.04.12	Gubbio - Pescara	0:2

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