Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Gucha Stars		MCF

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.16	4.84
	1.75	3	4.4
	1.81	3.42	4.24
	1.7	3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.98)	3.15 ↑ (3.13)	4.56 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gucha Stars
51.6%

Draw
28.6%

MCF
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

24.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gucha Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gucha Stars's performance.

MCF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MCF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gucha Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MCF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gucha Stars - MCF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(2 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Gucha Stars has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

MCF has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Gucha Stars will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Gucha Stars	36	11	8	17	32:38	-6	41
18	MCF	36	8	10	18	22:38	-16	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gucha Stars FC
Kenyan Super League
28.01.26	Soy United - Gucha Stars	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Equity Bank - Gucha Stars	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Gucha Stars - Nairobi City Stars	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
17.12.25	Naivas - Gucha Stars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLTTW
- MCF FC
Kenyan Super League
25.01.26	Kisumu All-Stars - MCF	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Talanta - MCF	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	MCF - Darajani Gogo	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Soy United - MCF	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Nzoia United - MCF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT

Gucha Stars - MCF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide