Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Gudja United		Balzan

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.25	1.82
	4	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.34	3.63	1.79
	4.34	3.63	1.75
	4	3.4	1.73
	4.25	3.44	1.74
	3.95	3.35	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (2.83)	3.44 ↑ (3.32)	1.78 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gudja United
22.3%

Draw
26.5%

Balzan
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.4%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

27.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gudja United's form might have worsened.

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Balzan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gudja United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Balzan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Spiteri J. (G) 9. Angulo M. 13. Arthur J. 18. Borg C. 5. Brenner 8. Cipriott S. 88. Esposito M. 22. Mendes R. 11. Muchardi M. (C) 23. Tabone N. 77. Toure A.	1. Briffa R. (G) 4. Andre 77. Andrejic A. 24. Braunovic N. 6. Grima M. (C) 11. Hili B. 42. Leo Souza 18. Michibuchi R. 80. Olawale P. 27. Raso M. 23. Zerjal N.
Substitutes
21. Attard J. 10. Attard S. 28. Cassini M. 19. Conti M. 14. Cutajar R. 30. Gatt L. 39. Grech Z. 7. Lorenzoni G. 17. Mensah G. 26. Pisani J. (G) 99. Zammit G.	5. Arab S. 44. Atkins E. 7. Caruana T. 19. Farrugia G. 8. Fenech P. 99. Golovic D. (G) 10. Grech J. 21. Katanic A. 14. Oluwatobilola A. 17. Tanti M. 12. Vella N. (G)
Coaches
Zammit J.	Spiteri O.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 3.

Gudja United is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Balzan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Balzan is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gudja United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gudja United
Maltese Premier League
05.11.23	Paola Hibernians - Gudja United	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Gudja United - Floriana	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Gudja United - Gżira United	1:6 ✺
27.09.23	Hamrun Spartans - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTLL
- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
05.11.23	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Balzan - Birkirkara	0:3 ✺
22.10.23	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Balzan - Floriana	0:3 ✺
26.09.23	Santa Lucia - Balzan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
21.01.23	Gudja United - Balzan	0:1
03.09.22	Balzan - Gudja United	0:1
19.02.22	Gudja United - Balzan	1:0
31.10.21	Balzan - Gudja United	1:0
04.12.20	Gudja United - Balzan	3:2
22.02.20	Gudja United - Balzan	0:2
05.10.19	Balzan - Gudja United	1:0

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