The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Balzan 27.7%
Draw 29.2%
Birkirkara 43.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.7%
27.6%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
26.6%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-1%)
Balzan - Birkirkara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ciappara D. (G) 18. Ederson 21. Gabriel Santos 42. Grech Z. 17. Guehi S. 7. Kuach Yuel V. 96. Leo Fernandes 11. Macula 8. Pulis N. (C) 24. Rosiel 9. Yahaya M.
1. Ondoa F. (G) 99. Amarildo 28. Brewer S. 94. Fernandinho 77. Garzia A. 22. Muscat Z. (C) 30. Pablo Gabriel 17. Pahama L. 8. Rafa Santos 27. Sasere F. 74. Vassallo J.
Substitutes
5. Arab S. 77. Cassar Z. 19. Celic V. 23. Cipriott S. 99. Djalo M. (G) 2. Djoric N. 6. Grech J. 22. Lapira L. 80. Majok A. 10. Micallef K. 4. Portelli J.
10. Busuttil J. 23. El Hazawi D. (G) 4. Felice I. 15. Fenech K. 24. Gill B. 14. Jefferson Vinicius 97. Kadu 9. Reid K. 12. Sammut K. (G) 20. Zahra J. 2. Zani B.
Coaches
Cohen A.
Zammit P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Fernandinho ↓, Busuttil J. ↑,
36', Rafa Santos 🟨,
42', Grech Z. 🟨,
45', Macula 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Sasere F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Kuach Yuel V. ↓, Portelli J. ↑,
61', Vassallo J. 🟨,
63', Gabriel Santos 🟨,
71', Portelli J. 🟨,
71', Pahama L. 🟨,
80', Grech Z. 🟥,
81', 0 - 2, Sasere F. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 🟨,
85', Ciappara D. 🟨,
86', Gabriel Santos 🟥,
87', Ederson ↓, Grech J. ↑,
87', Rosiel ↓, Arab S. ↑,
87', Macula ↓, Cipriott S. ↑,
88', Busuttil J. ↓, Reid K. ↑,
88', Amarildo ↓, Jefferson Vinicius ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: ) and 9th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Balzan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Birkirkara is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Balzan has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:38 (averaging 1.6:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Balzan against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:15 goals (averaging 1.4:1.7 per game).
Watch
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Ciappara D. (G) 
Ederson 
Guehi S. 
Kuach Yuel V. 
Yahaya M. 
Ondoa F. (G) 
Brewer S. 
Rafa Santos 
Djalo M. (G) 
Djoric N. 
Gill B. 
Zani B. 
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