The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gubbio 39.3%
Draw 31.3%
Pineto 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
28.6%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
28%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Gubbio - Pineto Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gubbio will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Pineto (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pineto (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bagnolini N. (G) 17. Fazzi N. 15. Signorini A. 3. Tentardini A. 27. Podda L. 40. Costa G. 4. Baroncelli L. 34. Zallu F. 29. Murru N. 44. Hraiech S. 73. Ghirardello T.
1. Marone F. (G) 23. Serbouti A. 16. Gagliardi L. 4. Postiglione N. 3. Ienco S. 14. Kraja E. 5. Schirone L. 21. Lombardi L. 7. Marrancone A. 19. Biggi S. 80. El Haddad S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Carraro F. ⚽,
32', Marrancone A. 🟨,
37', Murru N. 🟨,
43', Podda L. 🟨,
45+1', Ienco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Murru N. ↓, Bruscagin M. ↑,
54', Podda L. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
58', Lombardi L. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
58', Schirone L. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
63', Fazzi N. ↓, Conti V. ↑,
67', Conti V. 🟨,
70', Kraja E. ↓, Viero F. ↑,
73', Gagliardi L. 🟨,
75', Carraro F. ↓, Varone I. ↑,
75', Hraiech S. ↓, Bacalini L. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Mastropietro F. ⚽,
79', Varone I. 🟨,
81', Gagliardi L. ↓, Di Lazzaro F. ↑,
81', Biggi S. ↓, Sanna A. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Gubbio is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pineto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gubbio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Pineto
8
1
4
3
6:11
-5
7
17
Gubbio
9
2
1
6
10:18
-8
7
Last Results with these Odds
Gubbio - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.05%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
Pineto - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.